Want to know why a one point difference is very important in sports betting? Look no further than the Western Michigan (-6) line that I gave you last week. That game went SEVEN OVERTIMES before Buffalo got stopped and Western scored a TD but since Buffalo already had their possession for that OT the extra point was skipped which led to our first push which just means you get the amount you bet back. 2-2-1 on the week and now 6-3-1 (60%) with the picks I’ve shared with y’all. Let’s get straight to this week’s plays.
Toledo Rockets (-7) @ Central Michigan Chippewas
2:30pm CST kick. Toledo QB, Logan Woodside, will be the best player on the field in this game and it’s not that close. Woodside is completing 64% of his passes and has 11 touchdowns to just one interception so far this season. The Rockets did just lose their #1 WR target Cody Thompson to a broken leg but I believe this is a situation where we get a great number because of last week’s results. Toledo is coming off a close home win over Eastern Michigan 20-15 in a game where they had their lowest output in terms of points scored. Central Michigan is coming off a 3 point upset win over Ohio where they were out gained in yards but won the turnover battle 4 to 1. I’m taking Toledo and giving up the points.
Texas Longhorns (+9) vs Oklahoma Sooners
Another 2:30 CTS kickoff puts two bitter rivals in the old Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX for one of the coolest splits of crowds we see every year as one half will be crimson, the other half burnt orange. Oklahoma is coming off of a huge upset loss at home to Iowa State where they had no answer defensively. Texas comes into this game with their first winning streak under new head coach Tom Herman. Herman has a reputation of being the underdog king. He has a knack for getting his teams motivated for games where no one really thinks they have a shot at winning. Texas is a 9 point underdog here and that defense has been improving week by week. Give me Texas with more than a TD in a game that has played close in recent history.
Nebraska Cornhuskers (+24) vs Ohio State Buckeyes
6:30pm CST kick. Ohio State seems to have found their offensive production in these last couple of weeks but these blowout wins have come against UNLV, Rutgers, and a Maryland team who is now on their 3rd string QB. Nebraska is at home in what will be their biggest home underdog role ever. Nebraska QB Tanner Lee has played well when he has avoided turnovers and they also catch Ohio State in a road game before their bye week. The Buckeyes might not have their best effort in this spot which is why I like the Cornhuskers plus the points at home.
LSU Tigers (+7.5) vs Auburn Tigers
2:30pm CST kick. Auburn is the biggest public play of the week. They have 90% of the money bet on this game backing them on the road against an LSU team who is coming off of a road win at Florida last week. This is simply fading the public here. Vegas doesn’t win money by handing out free money so they clearly see something because even with 90% of the money on Auburn the line has only moved 1 point. I’m willing to bite on LSU getting more than a flat TD at home.
Houston Cougars (-13) @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
3:00pm CST kickoff. Houston bounced back nicely against SMU last week and now are on the road against one of the bottom 3 defenses in college football. Houston has a strong front seven on defense and I just don’t see Tulsa being able to do much offensively to hand around. Look for Houston RB Duke Catalon to have a big game today which will then make life easy on QB Kyle Postma. I’m taking the road favorite Cougars minus the points here.
Good luck this week.